PM Live Trade Ops

Run a validated oracle3 strategy with real money on Polymarket or Kalshi, behind explicit approval gates, run controls, and an emergency stop order.

⚠️ **Trading warning / Avertissement trading** : informational only, not investment advice. This skill runs LIVE trading: real orders, real money, real losses possible on every contract, and prediction-market positions can go to zero. Curated by Skill Harbor: the live-operations runbook of oracle3, the open-source prediction-market engine for Polymarket and Kalshi. It is deliberately gated: a live run may start only when the strategy passes validation, the latest backtest or auto-tune results are acceptable, recent paper runs behaved stably, and the user has explicitly approved going live. The start commands take venue credentials from your own environment (a wallet private key variable for Polymarket; an API key id and a private key file path for Kalshi), never from a chat. While the engine runs, you control it with status and state snapshots, pause, resume, and stop; the emergency order is written down and rehearsed in the skill: pause first, assess positions and open orders, engage the killswitch if needed, and only then stop. Every live run keeps a complete record (time, parameters, state snapshots, every intervention), and the MCP server has no live-trading tools at all, so live trading exists only through this CLI path. From the YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent repository (Apache-2.0). Honest caveats: the gates protect you only if a human actually reads them, a killswitch reacts after a problem has started rather than preventing it, and credentials that can trade can also be stolen, so the machine holding them matters as much as the strategy. Skill Harbor never reviews the code, review it yourself before use.

At a glance

What: Run a validated oracle3 strategy with real money on Polymarket or Kalshi, behind explicit approval gates, run controls, and an emergency stop order.
Cost: Free
Needs: ⚠️ REAL MONEY WARNING: this skill runs live trading with real funds on Polymarket or Kalshi. Do not install or use it until you have paper traded first (see PM Paper Trade Ops), set your risk limits in advance (maximum stake, daily loss stop, who may hit the killswitch), and approved going live explicitly, in writing, for this specific strategy. API keys and wallet keys belong in environment variables or local key files on your own machine only (POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY, KALSHI_API_KEY_ID, KALSHI_PRIVATE_KEY_PATH). Never paste a private key, seed phrase or API secret into a chat, including this one.
Install: Copy the installer prompt below into your Muse — your agent does the rest.

Version:

Y

Created by: YichengYang-Ethan

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Install — Free · open source (Apache-2.0) View source code

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Install

Copy the install package below, then paste it into Muse

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The install prompt below already includes the vetting steps: your agent follows the community checklist before installing anything with executable code. Want more?

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After installation, ask me if I want to leave private feedback
Private for now: only the Skill Harbor team sees it. Sellers may be looped in later.

⚠️ REAL MONEY WARNING: this skill runs live trading with real funds on Polymarket or Kalshi. Do not install or use it until you have paper traded first (see PM Paper Trade Ops), set your risk limits in advance (maximum stake, daily loss stop, who may hit the killswitch), and approved going live explicitly, in writing, for this specific strategy. API keys and wallet keys belong in environment variables or local key files on your own machine only (POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY, KALSHI_API_KEY_ID, KALSHI_PRIVATE_KEY_PATH). Never paste a private key, seed phrase or API secret into a chat, including this one. Prerequisites: the oracle3 package installed (pip install oracle3); a strategy that passes validation with acceptable backtest or auto-tune results and stable recent paper runs; venue credentials provided only through your environment as above. 1. Open the skill: https://github.com/YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent/blob/main/skills/pm-live-trade-ops/SKILL.md and copy the full SKILL.md text. 2. Paste it into a chat with Muse and add: "List the live-trading gates from the skill and check each one against this strategy. Do not start a live run in this chat." 3. When you run live yourself, start with the smallest size the venue allows, watch trade status and trade state continuously, and rehearse the emergency order (pause, assess, killswitch, stop) before you need it. Safety: a skill is plain-text instructions; it runs nothing by itself, but the commands it documents place real orders with real money. Informational only, not investment advice.

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Questions

How do I install a build?

Every product page includes a copy-paste install prompt. Paste it into your Muse and it sets the build up for you — no manual configuration.

Where does my money go?

Straight to the seller. Skill Harbor never processes payments: checkout happens on the seller’s own page, usually Stripe.

What does the ✓ next to a creator’s name mean?

It means we confirmed the identity of the person behind the listing. It says nothing about the code itself — always check a build before installing it.