Prediction Market Oracle Research
Use prediction markets as research signals: market-implied probabilities, liquidity checks, and integration patterns, without investment advice.
- What
- Use prediction markets as research signals: market-implied probabilities, liquidity checks, and integration patterns, without investment advice.
- Cost
- Free
- Needs
- Use "Prediction Market Oracle Research" with your Muse.
- Install
- Copy the installer prompt below into your Muse — your agent does the rest.
Curated by Skill Harbor: a research workflow for treating prediction markets as data sources, forecasting inputs, or oracle-like signals for products, agents, dashboards, and corporate decision intelligence. Starts from the decision the signal is meant to inform, finds relevant markets and venues, records market-implied probabilities with timestamps and source links, then evaluates signal quality: liquidity, spread, market age, trader concentration, resolution authority, and geography restrictions. Compares against non-market sources such as filings, news, polls, and internal KPIs, and recommends whether the signal is usable, weak, or unsuitable for the stated decision. Covers integration patterns: research assistant context, dashboard signals, agent memory input, alerting, and scenario planning without automating trades. By @affaan-m, listed here with credit to its creator. From the affaan-m/ECC repository (MIT). Honest caveats: market prices are not objective truth; manipulation, thin liquidity, stale markets, and ambiguous outcomes must be called out. Informational inputs only, never investment advice. For on-chain or execution-linked systems, run llm-trading-agent-security (also listed here) before granting any write authority. Skill Harbor never reviews the code, review it yourself before use.
Version:
Install
Copy the install package below, then paste it into MuseThe install prompt below already includes the vetting steps: your agent follows the community checklist before installing anything with executable code. Want more?
Use "Prediction Market Oracle Research" with your Muse. INFORMATIONAL ONLY: this skill produces research signals, never investment advice or trading recommendations. Do not treat market prices as objective truth. 1. Open the skill: https://github.com/affaan-m/ECC/blob/main/skills/prediction-market-oracle-research/SKILL.md and copy the full SKILL.md text. 2. Paste it into a chat with Muse and add: "Evaluate prediction markets as a signal for [decision]" or "Check the signal quality of this market: [market link]." 3. Follow the six-part output contract (decision context, market sources, signal quality, comparison sources, integration recommendation, caveats). Tip: always compare market-implied probabilities against non-market sources before trusting the signal; a thin market with one big trader is noise, not wisdom. Safety: a skill is plain-text instructions; it runs nothing by itself. Keep venue credentials and API keys out of any chat.
Saved to your recent installs. Find it anytime on /connect.
Questions
How do I install a build?
Every product page includes a copy-paste install prompt. Paste it into your Muse and it sets the build up for you — no manual configuration.
Where does my money go?
Straight to the seller. Skill Harbor never processes payments: checkout happens on the seller’s own page, usually Stripe.
What does the ✓ next to a creator’s name mean?
It means we confirmed the identity of the person behind the listing. It says nothing about the code itself — always check a build before installing it.